Volume 2, No. 5 , September 1999

Index

Crop Conditions and Price Outlook

Virginia's soybean crop has greatly improved since the last newsletter. The summer's drought was finally broken by August and September rains. Leaf area index (LAI) readings throughout eastern Virginia indicated average or better than average crop growth, therefore lack of canopy development should not reduce yields substantially. Corn earworm populations were up in the northern part of Virginia, triggering insecticide sprays. Some fields were sprayed twice. Some yield loss may have occurred due to late sprays. Still, our double-crop plantings look good and should yield much better than the last two years. I'm expecting the state-average yield to be higher than originally predicted and should range in the mid- to upper-20's.

While the soybean crop in much of the state is looking better, Hurricane Floyd damaged some of the crop in southeast Virginia. Most of the damage came from the wind and some fields remained underwater for an extended period. How will lodging affect yield? This is hard to say and will be quite variable. Lodging will reduce harvest efficiency and increase harvest losses, but can also directly affect yield due to inefficient light interception. The most vulnerable times are between R3 and R6 (pod and seed development). Pods may abort and seed size will be smaller.

The U. S. soybean harvest is expected to be lower than originally predicted, but we will still harvest a bumper crop. Harvest is just beginning in the Midwest and most freeze scares are probably over (the last one on 9/21 affected future prices minimally). Future and Virginia market prices are now hovering around $4.75 and 4.50, respectively. Exports are still strong, but cannot keep up with the huge supply out there. Therefore prices will not likely rise any further.

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Estimating Yield

I always hesitate to write a column regarding estimating yields because these estimates are usually not very accurate until the soybean plant approaches physiological maturity (R7), but I always have requests to do so. So, here it is. However, keep in mind that less than 25% of the total seed dry matter has accumulated by the R6 development stage; only 50% has accumulated by R6.5. Stressed during the R6-6.5 stages can result in large yield losses mostly by reduced seed size, but also by reduced pods or beans per pod. After R6.5, stresses will cause a much smaller loss. For a review of soybean development stages, refer to the Soybean Development Stage chart in the Soybean Production Guide or the Iowa State's "How a Soybean Plant Develops" at http://www.agron.iastate.edu/soybean/beangrows.html. The chart below describes the accumulation of dry matter in the soybean plant parts throughout the growing season.

To estimate soybean yield, follow the steps below. Be sure to sample in 5 to 7 different areas of the field.

  1. Determine the number of row feet needed to make 1/1000th of an acre from the table below. In narrow rows, one may use 3 or 4 side-by-side rows instead of one long row.

    Row Width Length of a Single Row
    to Equal 1/1000th Acre
    6 87'1"
    7.5 74'8"
    10 52'3"
    15 34'10"
    20 26'2"
    30 17'5"
    36 14'6"

  2. Determine the plant population per acre. Count the number of plants for the row feet determined above in 6 to 10 randomly chosen areas of the field. Multiply this number by 1000. Average the number of sampling areas.

  3. Determine the number of pods per plant. Count the number of pods on 5 to 10 randomly selected plants within the sample area and average.

  4. Determine the pods per acre. Multiply the pod average by the plant population (step 2).

  5. Determine the number of seeds per acre. Multiply the number of pods (step 4) by 2.5 seeds/pod.

  6. Determine pounds of seed per acre. Divide the seeds/acre (step 5) by 2800 seeds/pound. The assumption of 2800 seed/pound is average for Virginia. A better estimate may be obtained from the tag of the seed planted. Higher numbers represent smaller seed that are more likely during drought.

  7. Determine the yield. Divide the pounds/acre (step 6) by 60 pounds/bushel.

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Late-Season Troubleshooting

Late summer and fall is an excellent time for diagnosing problem areas in the field. Although it is too late to do anything about it at this time, proper identification of the problem will allow one to adjust their management strategies next year. Excess lodging may indicate that plant populations are too high. Diseases can be diagnosed and compacted areas of the field can be determined. August through November is an excellent time to determine if nematodes are present in the field.

Sampling for Nematodes: Samples should be taken in September while the population is at its peak. Samples taken after harvest will not be as reliable due to the nematode population decline. Composite 20 1-inch diameter soil cores taken in a systematic zigzag pattern over a 5-acre area. For larger fields with similar soil type and cropping history, select 2 to 5 random, representative 4 to 5 acre sections for field and follow the above procedures. Insert the sampling tube at a slight angle under the plant to a depth of 8 to 10 inches. This will insure that soil and roots are included in the sample. Thoroughly mix the soil from all cores and place in plastic or plastic-lined bags. Nematodes in the sample must arrive alive to be properly identified. Keep the samples in cool storage (refrigerator) until ready to ship. Do not store the samples for more than 2 days. Samples can be analyzed at Virginia Tech's Plant Disease Clinic and Nematode Assay Lab. Forms for predictive nematode assay can be found at County Extension offices. The table below lists the levels of risk for yield loss according to population densities of nematodes in a 500-cc sample of soil. The risk thresholds are based on numbers of nematodes present during late summer or early fall (August to November).

Nematode

Other host crops

Low Risk a

Moderate Risk

High Risk

Root knot

corn, cotton, peanut

<50

50-170

>170

Cyst juveniles

none

<20

20-60

>60

Dagger

peanut

<100

100-300

>300

Sting

corn, cotton, peanut

0

10-20

>20

Lesion

corn, cotton, peanut

<100

100-300

>300

Ring

corn, peanut

<200

200-700

>700

Stunt

none

<300

300-1000

>1000

Spiral

peanut

<1000

>1000

---

Stubby root

corn, cotton, peanut

<90

>90

---

Lance

corn, cotton, peanut

<300

300-500

>500

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1999 Virginia Soybean Yield Contest

I encourage everyone which good yields to enter this year's Virginia soybean yield contest. Rules and regulations can be found at all Virginia Cooperative Extension County Offices or on the Virginia Soybean Production Web Site.

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Virginia Soybean Association / American Soybean Association

I encourage everyone to join or renew their membership in the Virginia Soybean Association, which in turn gives one membership in the American Soybean Association. These organizations represent soybean producers on a broad range of issues, from trade and environmental policy to new uses for soybean products. Remember, check-off dollars that fund the Virginia Soybean Board and the United Soybean Board cannot be used for political purposes, therefore your membership in these Associations is the only way to insure that soybean interests are being represented in Richmond and Washington. Key policy areas where VSA and ASA efforts are boosting demand and increasing the competitiveness of soybeans and soybean products include: